Derby favoured (38%) Key factors: • Derby are without key attacker Patrick Agyemang (Achilles tendon rupture). • Playing at home is a factor in Derby's favour. • Cardiff are missing key midfielder Eli King (Cruciate ligament tear). • Both sides are expected to create similar chances (~1.2 xG each). • Derby have had a long break of 112 days and may take time to find their rhythm. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.