Championship
— Matchday 11
Derby
0 – 1
Stoke
1X2
Derby
33.2%
Draw
26.2%
Stoke
40.6%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.7%
Under 2.5
45.4%
BTTS
Both Score
58.5%
No
41.5%
Model Reasoning
Stoke favoured (41%)
Key factors:
• Derby are without key defender Eiran Cashin (Calf injury).
• Playing at home is a factor in Derby's favour.
• Derby are in poor form, with only 0 win(s) from their last 5 matches.
• Derby may be feeling the effects of a short turnaround, with only 2 days since their last match.
• Stoke face a short turnaround, having played just 3 days ago.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Derby
D
D
L
L
D
Stoke
W
W
L
W
D
Squad News
Derby
- Injured Eiran Cashin ★ Defender · Calf injury
- Injured Patrick Agyemang ★ Attacker · Achilles tendon rupture
- Injured Sondre Langås ★ Defender · Groin surgery
- Injured Charlie Taylor Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Craig Forsyth Defender · Knee injury
- Injured Derry Murkin Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper · Knee injury
- Injured Lewis Travis Midfielder · Ankle injury
- Injured Matt Clarke Defender · Calf injury
- Suspended Sondre Langås Defender · Suspension
Stoke
- Injured Junior Tchamadeu Defender · Knee injury
- Suspended Ethan Galbraith Midfielder · Suspension
Season Stats
12
Played
12
7
Points
20
10
Goals Scored
18
21
Goals Conceded
16
-11
Goal Diff
+2
1
Clean Sheets
4
Head to Head
1 match played
Derby
Draws
Stoke
Last meeting (6 Apr 2026): 2-0
Prediction vs Result
1X2
Stoke (41%)
Stoke
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (55%)
Under 2.5
✗
BTTS
Both Score (59%)
No
✗
Match Statistics
1.14
xG
0.59
0
HT Score
0