Home / Football / Championship / Derby County vs Swansea
Championship — Matchday 3
Derby
vs
Swansea
Saturday, 29 August 2026 at 11:30 UTC
1X2
37.8%
29.7%
32.5%
Derby 37.8%
Draw 29.7%
Swansea 32.5%
Over/Under 2.5
46.7%
53.3%
Over 2.5 46.7%
Under 2.5 53.3%
BTTS
53.2%
46.9%
Both Score 53.2%
No 46.9%
Model Reasoning
Derby favoured (38%) Key factors: • Derby are without key attacker Patrick Agyemang (Achilles tendon rupture). • Playing at home is a factor in Derby's favour. • Swansea have been solid recently, winning 3 of their last 5. • Swansea are missing key defender Cameron Burgess (Achilles tendon rupture). • Both sides are expected to create similar chances (~1.3 xG each). Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Derby
W L W L L
Swansea
L W D W W
Squad News
Derby
  • Injured Patrick Agyemang ★ Attacker · Achilles tendon rupture
  • Injured Derry Murkin Defender · Hamstring injury
  • Injured Ryan Hedges Attacker · Ankle injury
Swansea
  • Injured Cameron Burgess Defender · Achilles tendon rupture
Season Stats
1
Played
1
0
Points
3
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Diff
+1
0
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
1
0
0
Derby Draws Swansea
Last meeting (14 Feb 2026): 2-0