Derby favoured (41%) Key factors: • Derby are without key attacker Patrick Agyemang (Achilles tendon rupture). • A slight edge in expected goals for Derby (1.3 vs 1.1). • Playing at home is a factor in Derby's favour. • Derby have struggled recently, losing 3 of their last 5 matches. • West Brom are missing key defender Conor Townsend (Cruciate ligament tear). Most likely scoreline: 1-1.