Wrexham favoured (46%) Key factors: • A slight edge in expected goals for Derby (1.3 vs 1.7). • Derby are without key defender Eiran Cashin (Calf injury). • Playing at home is a factor in Derby's favour. • Derby have struggled recently, losing 3 of their last 5 matches. • Wrexham are missing key defender Sebastian Revan (Hamstring injury). Most likely scoreline: 1-1.