Bundesliga
— Matchday 5
Dortmund
2 – 2
Werder Bremen
1X2
Dortmund
74.9%
Draw
17.2%
Werder Bremen
7.9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Both Score
47%
No
53%
Model Reasoning
Dortmund favoured (75%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Dortmund to create significantly more chances (2.5 xG vs 0.7 xG).
• Dortmund are in excellent form, winning 5 of their last 5 matches.
• Dortmund are without key defender Filippo Mane (Muscle injury).
• Werder Bremen are missing key midfielder Jens Stage (Tendon rupture).
• Dortmund have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Dortmund
D
L
D
W
W
Werder Bremen
D
W
D
D
W
Squad News
Dortmund
- Injured Giannis Konstantelias ★ Midfielder · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Kauã Prates ★ Defender · muscular problems
- Injured Konstantinos Karetsas ★ Midfielder · Ligament injury
- Injured Ramy Bensebaini ★ Defender · Thigh problems
- Injured Alexander Meyer Goalkeeper · Ill
- Injured Emre Can Defender · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Justin Lerma Midfielder · Muscle injury
- Injured Mussa Kaba Midfielder · Shoulder injury
Werder Bremen
- Injured Jens Stage ★ Midfielder · Tendon rupture
- Injured Olivier Deman ★ Defender · Foot injury
- Injured Felix Agu Defender · Calf injury
- Injured Keke Topp Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Moussa Ndiaye Defender · Groin problems
- Injured Niklas Stark Defender · muscular problems
- Injured Salim Musah Attacker · Hamstring injury
- Injured Skelly Alvero Midfielder · Calf injury
Season Stats
7
Played
7
17
Points
12
12
Goals Scored
15
4
Goals Conceded
14
+8
Goal Diff
+1
5
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Dortmund
Draws
Werder Bremen
Last meeting (13 Jan 2026): 3-0
Prediction vs Result
1X2
Dortmund (75%)
Draw
✗
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (61%)
Over 2.5
✓
BTTS
No (53%)
Both Score
✗
Match Statistics
2.61
xG
0.84
0
HT Score
0