Dortmund favoured (70%) Key factors: • The model expects Dortmund to create significantly more chances (2.4 xG vs 0.9 xG). • Dortmund are without key defender Nico Schlotterbeck (Inner ligament tear in ankle joint). • Hamburg are missing key attacker Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit (Ankle injury). • Dortmund have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best. • Playing at home is a factor in Dortmund's favour. Most likely scoreline: 2-0.