Dortmund favoured (50%) Key factors: • The model expects Dortmund to create significantly more chances (1.9 xG vs 1.4 xG). • Dortmund are without key midfielder Giannis Konstantelias (Cruciate ligament tear). • Dortmund have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best. • Playing at home is a factor in Dortmund's favour. • Villarreal carry a decent goal threat. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.