Ecuador favoured (45%) Key factors: • Ecuador have one of the tightest defenses in the league. • A slight edge in expected goals for Ecuador (1.1 vs 0.7). • Playing at home is a factor in Ecuador's favour. • Curaçao carry a decent goal threat. • Ecuador may be feeling the effects of a short turnaround, with only 1 days since their last match. Most likely scoreline: 1-0.