World Cup
— Matchday 3
Ecuador
2 – 1
Germany
1X2
Ecuador
20,2%
Draw
30,7%
Germany
49,1%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
31,7%
Under 2.5
68,3%
BTTS
Both Score
37,2%
No
62,9%
Model Reasoning
Germany favoured (49%)
Key factors:
• Ecuador have one of the tightest defenses in the league.
• Germany boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• The model expects Ecuador to create significantly more chances (0.7 xG vs 1.3 xG).
• Germany arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in 5 of their last 5.
• Germany are very hard to break down.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Ecuador
D
W
W
L
L
Germany
W
L
L
D
L
Season Stats
4
Played
4
4
Points
6
2
Goals Scored
15
4
Goals Conceded
10
-2
Goal Diff
+5
1
Clean Sheets
0
Prediction vs Result
1X2
2 (49%)
1
✗
Over/Under 2.5
Under (68%)
Over
✗
BTTS
No (63%)
Yes
✗
Match Statistics
1
HT Score
1