England favoured (56%) Key factors: • The model expects England to create significantly more chances (1.6 xG vs 0.8 xG). • England have one of the tightest defenses in the league. • England have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best. • Playing at home is a factor in England's favour. • England are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Most likely scoreline: 1-0.