Serie A
— Matchday 9
Fiorentina
2 – 2
Atalanta
1X2
Fiorentina
43.5%
Draw
24.3%
Atalanta
32.2%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.1%
Under 2.5
39.9%
BTTS
Both Score
62.2%
No
37.8%
Double Chance
Fiorentina or Draw
67.8%
Fiorentina or Atalanta
75.7%
Draw or Atalanta
56.5%
Draw No Bet
Fiorentina
57.4%
Atalanta
42.6%
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.7%
Under 3.5
62.3%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
Fiorentina scores
81.5%
Fiorentina fails to score
18.5%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
Fiorentina 2+ goals
50.2%
Fiorentina 0-1 goals
49.8%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
Atalanta scores
75.9%
Atalanta fails to score
24.1%
Correct Score
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
Half-Time Result
Fiorentina at HT
33.4%
Draw at HT
40.1%
Atalanta at HT
26.5%
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
1st half goal
73.4%
No 1st half goal
26.7%
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
1st half Over 1.5
39%
1st half Under 1.5
61%
Half-Time/Full-Time
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
25.6%
Atalanta / Atalanta
18.2%
Draw / Fiorentina
14.9%
Draw / Draw
13.6%
Draw / Atalanta
11.7%
Fiorentina / Draw
5.4%
Atalanta / Draw
5.4%
Atalanta / Fiorentina
2.9%
Fiorentina / Atalanta
2.4%
Model Reasoning
Fiorentina favoured (43%)
Key factors:
• Fiorentina are without key midfielder Arthur Atta (Stress reaction of the bone).
• Atalanta are missing key attacker Giacomo Raspadori (Hamstring muscle injury).
• A slight edge in expected goals for Fiorentina (1.7 vs 1.4).
• Atalanta carry a decent goal threat.
• Playing at home is a factor in Fiorentina's favour.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Fiorentina
D
L
L
L
D
Atalanta
L
W
L
D
D
Squad News
Fiorentina
- Injured Arthur Atta ★ Midfielder · Stress reaction of the bone
- Injured Fabiano Parisi ★ Defender · Cruciate ligament injury
- Injured Luca Ranieri ★ Defender · Foot injury
- Injured Marin Pongracic ★ Defender · Hamstring muscle injury
Atalanta
- Injured Giacomo Raspadori ★ Attacker · Hamstring muscle injury
- Injured Isak Hien ★ Defender · Thigh problems
- Injured Kamaldeen Sulemana ★ Attacker · Inner ligament injury
- Injured Odilon Kossounou ★ Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Raoul Bellanova ★ Defender · Groin problems
- Injured Sead Kolasinac Defender · Hamstring strain
- Injured Thomas Pompei Goalkeeper · Broken hand
Confirmed Lineups
Fiorentina
4-3-3 Attacking
- Marco Brescianini
- Franco Mastantuono
- Viery
- Nicolò Fagioli
- Radu Drăgușin
- Mateo Pellegrino
- Alieu Njie
- Álex Jiménez
- João Mário
- David de Gea
- Cher Ndour
Substitutes
- Oliver Christensen
- Víctor Valdepeñas
- #73
- Beto
- #75
- Dodô
- Wilfried Gnonto
Atalanta
4-2-3-1
- Nikola Krstović
- Gianluca Gaetano
- Éderson
- Lorenzo Bernasconi
- Thomas Kristensen
- Eljif Elmas
- Charles De Ketelaere
- Davide Zappacosta
- Nicola Zalewski
- Marco Carnesecchi
- Relja Obrić
Substitutes
- Jonathan Rowe
- Mario Pašalić
- Marco Sportiello
- Kamaldeen Sulemana
- Giorgio Scalvini
- #41
- #51
Season Stats
9
Played
9
5
Points
11
11
Goals Scored
16
21
Goals Conceded
17
-10
Goal Diff
-1
0
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
5 matches played
Fiorentina
Draws
Atalanta
Last meeting (22 May 2026): 1-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
Fiorentina (43%)
Draw
✗
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (60%)
Over 2.5
✓
BTTS
Both Score (62%)
Both Score
✓
Double Chance
Fiorentina or Atalanta (76%)
Fiorentina or Draw / Draw or Atalanta
✗
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 (82%)
Over 1.5
✓
Over/Under 3.5
Under 3.5 (62%)
Over 3.5
✗
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
Fiorentina scores (81%)
Fiorentina scores
✓
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
Fiorentina 2+ goals (50%)
Fiorentina 2+ goals
✓
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
Atalanta scores (76%)
Atalanta scores
✓
Correct Score
1-1 (11%)
2-2
✗
Half-Time Result
Draw at HT (40%)
Atalanta at HT
✗
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
1st half goal (73%)
1st half goal
✓
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
1st half Under 1.5 (61%)
1st half Under 1.5
✓
Half-Time/Full-Time
Fiorentina / Fiorentina (26%)
Atalanta / Draw
✗
Match Statistics
0
HT Score
1