Fiorentina favoured (45%) Key factors: • Fiorentina are without key defender Fabiano Parisi (Cruciate ligament injury). • Monza are missing key defender Jan Ziolkowski (Heel spur). • A slight edge in expected goals for Fiorentina (1.5 vs 1.2). • Playing at home is a factor in Fiorentina's favour. • Monza have been defensively average. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.