Fiorentina favoured (41%) Key factors: • Fiorentina are without key defender Fabiano Parisi (Cruciate ligament injury). • Napoli are missing key defender Alessandro Buongiorno (Knee surgery). • Playing at home is a factor in Fiorentina's favour. • A slight edge in expected goals for Fiorentina (1.4 vs 1.2). • Napoli are reasonably well-organized at the back. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.