Bundesliga
— Matchday 7
Freiburg
1 – 3
Bayern Munich
1X2
Freiburg
26.6%
Draw
19.3%
Bayern Munich
54.1%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82.4%
Under 2.5
17.6%
BTTS
Both Score
78.7%
No
21.3%
Model Reasoning
Bayern Munich favoured (54%)
Key factors:
• Bayern Munich boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• The model expects Freiburg to create significantly more chances (1.9 xG vs 2.6 xG).
• Freiburg are without key defender Berkay Yılmaz (Dental surgery).
• Bayern Munich are missing key midfielder Aleksandar Pavlovic (Calf problems).
• Playing at home is a factor in Freiburg's favour.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Freiburg
W
D
W
L
L
Bayern Munich
D
D
W
D
W
Squad News
Freiburg
- Injured Berkay Yılmaz ★ Defender · Fitness
- Injured Bruno Ogbus ★ Defender · Fitness
- Injured Derry Scherhant ★ Attacker · Foot injury
- Injured Jordy Makengo ★ Defender · muscular problems
Bayern Munich
- Injured Aleksandar Pavlovic ★ Midfielder · Calf problems
- Injured Bara Sapoko Ndiaye ★ Midfielder · Appendectomy
- Injured Jamal Musiala ★ Midfielder · Torn muscle fiber
- Injured Luis Díaz ★ Attacker · Torn muscle bundle
- Injured Min-jae Kim ★ Defender · Groin problems
- Injured Manuel Neuer Goalkeeper · Foot injury
Season Stats
7
Played
7
13
Points
17
16
Goals Scored
25
9
Goals Conceded
6
+7
Goal Diff
+19
2
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
1 match played
Freiburg
Draws
Bayern Munich
Last meeting (4 Apr 2026): 2-3
Prediction vs Result
1X2
Bayern Munich (54%)
Bayern Munich
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (82%)
Over 2.5
✓
BTTS
Both Score (79%)
Both Score
✓
Match Statistics
0.82
xG
3.09
0
HT Score
2