Bundesliga
— Matchday 1
Freiburg
4 – 1
Werder Bremen
1X2
Freiburg
58.2%
Draw
25.6%
Werder Bremen
16.2%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.8%
Under 2.5
51.2%
BTTS
Both Score
48.8%
No
51.2%
Model Reasoning
Freiburg favoured (58%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Freiburg to create significantly more chances (1.8 xG vs 0.8 xG).
• Freiburg are without key midfielder Patrick Osterhage (muscular problems).
• Werder Bremen are missing key defender Oskar Wójcik (muscular problems).
• Playing at home is a factor in Freiburg's favour.
• Werder Bremen's attacking numbers are underwhelming.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Freiburg
W
W
W
W
D
Werder Bremen
L
L
W
D
W
Squad News
Freiburg
- Injured Patrick Osterhage ★ Midfielder · muscular problems
- Injured Florent Muslija Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
Werder Bremen
- Injured Jens Stage ★ Midfielder · Tendon rupture
- Injured Justin Njinmah ★ Attacker · Hamstring injury
- Injured Senne Lynen ★ Midfielder · Fitness
- Injured Felix Agu Defender · Calf injury
- Injured Keke Topp Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Moussa Ndiaye Defender · Groin problems
- Injured Salim Musah Attacker · Hamstring injury
Confirmed Lineups
Freiburg
4-2-3-1
- Mio Backhaus
- Philipp Lienhart
- Matthias Ginter
- Jordy Makengo
- Lukas Kübler
- Maximilian Eggestein
- Yannik Engelhardt
- Niklas Beste
- Derry Scherhant
- Yuito Suzuki
- Igor Matanovic
Substitutes
- Vincenzo Grifo
- Berkay Yılmaz
- Philipp Treu
- Florian Müller
- Keisuke Goto
- Christian Günter
- Lucas Höler
Season Stats
4
Played
4
10
Points
7
12
Goals Scored
8
3
Goals Conceded
8
+9
Goal Diff
+0
2
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Freiburg
Draws
Werder Bremen
Last meeting (7 Feb 2026): 1-0
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (58%)
1
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Under (51%)
Over
✗
BTTS
No (51%)
Yes
✗
Match Statistics
2
HT Score
0