Premier League
— Matchday 1
Fulham
2 – 3
Chelsea FC
1X2
Fulham
55.1%
Draw
26.4%
Chelsea FC
18.5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
49.4%
Under 2.5
50.6%
BTTS
Both Score
50.9%
No
49.1%
Model Reasoning
Fulham favoured (55%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Fulham to create significantly more chances (1.7 xG vs 0.9 xG).
• Chelsea FC are missing key defender Aarón Anselmino (Hamstring injury).
• Playing at home is a factor in Fulham's favour.
• Chelsea FC go with 3-4-3 — Aarón Anselmino not in the XI.
• Fulham are set up in a 4-2-3-1.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Fulham
L
L
L
D
D
Chelsea FC
W
W
L
D
L
Squad News
Fulham
- Injured Tom Cairney Midfielder · Knee surgery
Chelsea FC
- Injured Emmanuel Emegha ★ Attacker · Torn thigh muscle
- Injured Jamie Gittens ★ Attacker · Ankle injury
- Injured João Pedro ★ Attacker · Knee problems
- Injured Marco Palestra ★ Defender · unknown injury
- Injured Mike Penders ★ Goalkeeper · Hamstring injury
- Injured Moisés Caicedo ★ Midfielder · Calf injury
- Injured Reece James ★ Defender · Thigh problems
Confirmed Lineups
Fulham
4-2-3-1
- Bernd Leno
- César Palacios
- Calvin Bassey
- Gonzalo García
- Josh King
- Oscar Bobb
- Sander Berge
- Alex Iwobi
- Jorge Cuenca
- Antonee Robinson
- Timothy Castagne
Substitutes
- Kenny Tete
- Emile Smith Rowe
- Luc De Fougerolles
- Benjamin Lecomte
- Kevin
- Rodrigo Muniz
- Harrison Reed
Chelsea FC
3-4-3
- Morgan Rogers
- Levi Colwill
- Maxence Lacroix
- Malo Gusto
- Jorrel Hato
- Robert Sánchez
- Reece James
- Roméo Lavia
- Cole Palmer
- João Pedro
- Josh Acheampong
Substitutes
- Valentín Barco
- Enzo Fernández
- Mike Penders
- Pedro Neto
- Estêvão
- Geovany Quenda
- Pep Chavarría
Season Stats
5
Played
5
2
Points
7
5
Goals Scored
10
8
Goals Conceded
12
-3
Goal Diff
-2
1
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Fulham
Draws
Chelsea FC
Last meeting (7 Jan 2026): 2-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (55%)
2
✗
Over/Under 2.5
Under (51%)
Over
✗
BTTS
Yes (51%)
Yes
✓
Match Statistics
1
HT Score
2