Bundesliga
— Matchday 33
Hamburg
vs
Freiburg
1X2
Hamburg
18.5%
Draw
25.6%
Freiburg
55.9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.8%
Under 2.5
48.2%
BTTS
Both Score
52.5%
No
47.5%
Model Reasoning
Freiburg favoured (56%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Hamburg to create significantly more chances (0.9 xG vs 1.8 xG).
• Hamburg are without key attacker Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit (Ankle injury).
• Freiburg are missing key midfielder Patrick Osterhage (muscular problems).
• Freiburg arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in 4 of their last 5.
• Playing at home is a factor in Hamburg's favour.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Hamburg
W
D
L
L
L
Freiburg
L
W
W
W
W
Squad News
Hamburg
- Injured Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit ★ Attacker · Ankle injury
- Injured Miro Muheim ★ Defender · Fitness
- Injured Sebastiaan Bornauw ★ Defender · muscular problems
- Injured Fernando Dickes Goalkeeper · Shoulder injury
- Injured Kofi Amoako Midfielder · Ill
Freiburg
- Injured Patrick Osterhage ★ Midfielder · muscular problems
- Injured Florent Muslija Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
Season Stats
3
Played
3
0
Points
9
0
Goals Scored
10
12
Goals Conceded
1
-12
Goal Diff
+9
0
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
1 match played
Hamburg
Draws
Freiburg
Last meeting (10 May 2026): 3-2