Hull favoured (50%) Key factors: • The model expects Hull to create significantly more chances (1.5 xG vs 0.9 xG). • Hull are without key attacker Joe Gelhardt (Ankle injury). • Aston Villa are missing key midfielder Amadou Onana (Cruciate ligament tear). • Hull line up in a 5-4-1, without Joe Gelhardt in the starting XI. • Aston Villa go with 4-2-3-1 — Amadou Onana not in the XI. Most likely scoreline: 1-0.