Serie A
— Matchday 38
Lazio
vs
Fiorentina
1X2
Lazio
39.2%
Draw
32.7%
Fiorentina
28.1%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS
Both Score
42.3%
No
57.7%
Model Reasoning
Lazio favoured (39%)
Key factors:
• Lazio are without key midfielder Adrian Przyborek (Adductor injury).
• Fiorentina are missing key defender Fabiano Parisi (Cruciate ligament injury).
• Lazio are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.
• Playing at home is a factor in Lazio's favour.
• A slight edge in expected goals for Lazio (1.1 vs 0.9).
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Lazio
W
W
W
W
W
Fiorentina
W
D
L
L
L
Squad News
Lazio
- Injured Albert Gudmundsson ★ Attacker · Shoulder injury
- Injured Nicolò Rovella ★ Midfielder · Calf injury
- Injured Adam Marusic Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Alessio Furlanetto Goalkeeper · Cruciate ligament surgery
Fiorentina
- Injured Arthur Atta ★ Midfielder · Stress reaction of the bone
- Injured Fabiano Parisi ★ Defender · Cruciate ligament injury
- Injured Luca Ranieri ★ Defender · Foot injury
- Injured Marin Pongracic ★ Defender · Hamstring muscle injury
Season Stats
9
Played
8
25
Points
4
22
Goals Scored
9
7
Goals Conceded
19
+15
Goal Diff
-10
4
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Lazio
Draws
Fiorentina
Last meeting (7 Jan 2026): 2-2