Lille favoured (52%) Key factors: • The model expects Lille to create significantly more chances (1.6 xG vs 0.9 xG). • Lille are without key attacker Hamza Igamane (Cruciate ligament tear). • Playing at home is a factor in Lille's favour. • Lille are defensively solid. • Troyes have been defensively average. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.