Lorient favoured (50%) Key factors: • The model expects Lorient to create significantly more chances (1.8 xG vs 1.2 xG). • Strasbourg are missing key attacker Joaquín Panichelli (Cruciate ligament tear). • Strasbourg carry a decent goal threat. • Playing at home is a factor in Lorient's favour. • Lorient have had a long break of 230 days and may take time to find their rhythm. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.