Bundesliga
— Matchday 9
Mainz
vs
Bayern Munich
1X2
Mainz
22.6%
Draw
20.9%
Bayern Munich
56.5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68.5%
Under 2.5
31.5%
BTTS
Both Score
65.9%
No
34.1%
Double Chance
Mainz or Draw
43.5%
Mainz or Bayern Munich
79.1%
Draw or Bayern Munich
77.4%
Draw No Bet
Mainz
28.6%
Bayern Munich
71.4%
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.1%
Under 1.5
12.9%
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
47.1%
Under 3.5
52.9%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
Mainz scores
73.9%
Mainz fails to score
26.2%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
Mainz 2+ goals
38.8%
Mainz 0-1 goals
61.2%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
Bayern Munich scores
88.8%
Bayern Munich fails to score
11.2%
Correct Score
1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
Half-Time Result
Mainz at HT
21.5%
Draw at HT
35.1%
Bayern Munich at HT
43.4%
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
1st half goal
79.4%
No 1st half goal
20.6%
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
1st half Over 1.5
48%
1st half Under 1.5
52%
Half-Time/Full-Time
Bayern Munich / Bayern Munich
36.4%
Draw / Bayern Munich
16.5%
Mainz / Mainz
12.8%
Draw / Draw
10.9%
Draw / Mainz
7.9%
Bayern Munich / Draw
5%
Mainz / Draw
5%
Mainz / Bayern Munich
3.7%
Bayern Munich / Mainz
1.9%
Model Reasoning
Bayern Munich favoured (56%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Mainz to create significantly more chances (1.3 xG vs 2.2 xG).
• Bayern Munich boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• Mainz are without key midfielder Nadiem Amiri (Knee problems).
• Bayern Munich are missing key midfielder Aleksandar Pavlovic (Calf problems).
• Bayern Munich are very hard to break down.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Mainz
L
W
L
W
L
Bayern Munich
D
D
W
D
W
Squad News
Mainz
- Injured Nadiem Amiri ★ Midfielder · Knee problems
- Injured Dominik Kohr Defender · Ankle injury
- Injured Otto Ruoppi Midfielder · Knee problems
- Injured Silas Attacker · Fitness
Bayern Munich
- Injured Aleksandar Pavlovic ★ Midfielder · Calf problems
- Injured Bara Sapoko Ndiaye ★ Midfielder · Appendectomy
- Injured Jamal Musiala ★ Midfielder · Torn muscle fiber
- Injured Luis Díaz ★ Attacker · Torn muscle bundle
- Injured Min-jae Kim ★ Defender · Groin problems
- Injured Manuel Neuer Goalkeeper · Foot injury
Season Stats
7
Played
7
10
Points
17
16
Goals Scored
25
13
Goals Conceded
6
+3
Goal Diff
+19
3
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
5 matches played
Mainz
Draws
Bayern Munich
Last meeting (25 Apr 2026): 3-4