Mainz favoured (65%) Key factors: • The model expects Mainz to create significantly more chances (2.1 xG vs 0.9 xG). • Werder Bremen are missing key midfielder Jens Stage (Tendon rupture). • Mainz's defence is weakened with 2 defender(s) out. • Playing at home is a factor in Mainz's favour. • Mainz have a solid attacking output. Most likely scoreline: 2-0.