Mainz favoured (48%) Key factors: • The model expects Mainz to create significantly more chances (1.6 xG vs 1.1 xG). • Mainz are without key defender Anthony Caci (Nose injury). • Leverkusen are missing key attacker Christian Kofane (Hamstring injury). • Playing at home is a factor in Mainz's favour. • Leverkusen carry a decent goal threat. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.