Manchester City FC favoured (68%) Key factors: • The model expects Manchester City FC to create significantly more chances (1.9 xG vs 0.5 xG). • Manchester City FC have one of the tightest defenses in the league. • Manchester City FC are in excellent form, winning 5 of their last 5 matches. • Manchester City FC are without key attacker Jérémy Doku (Calf injury). • Aston Villa are missing key midfielder Amadou Onana (Cruciate ligament tear). Most likely scoreline: 1-0.