Premier League
— Matchday 10
Man United
vs
Aston Villa
1X2
Man United
45%
Draw
23.1%
Aston Villa
31.9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.5%
Under 2.5
34.5%
BTTS
Both Score
66.3%
No
33.7%
Double Chance
Man United or Draw
68.1%
Man United or Aston Villa
76.9%
Draw or Aston Villa
55.1%
Draw No Bet
Man United
58.5%
Aston Villa
41.5%
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.3%
Under 1.5
14.7%
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.6%
Under 3.5
56.5%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
Man United scores
84.2%
Man United fails to score
15.8%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
Man United 2+ goals
55%
Man United 0-1 goals
45%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
Aston Villa scores
78.3%
Aston Villa fails to score
21.7%
Correct Score
1-1
10%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6%
Half-Time Result
Man United at HT
35.2%
Draw at HT
37.8%
Aston Villa at HT
27.1%
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
1st half goal
76.8%
No 1st half goal
23.3%
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
1st half Over 1.5
43.9%
1st half Under 1.5
56.1%
Half-Time/Full-Time
Man United / Man United
27.1%
Aston Villa / Aston Villa
18.4%
Draw / Man United
14.6%
Draw / Draw
12.3%
Draw / Aston Villa
11%
Man United / Draw
5.4%
Aston Villa / Draw
5.4%
Aston Villa / Man United
3.2%
Man United / Aston Villa
2.5%
Model Reasoning
Man United favoured (45%)
Key factors:
• Man United are without key midfielder Manuel Ugarte (Cruciate ligament tear).
• Aston Villa are missing key defender Aaron Wan-Bissaka (Hamstring injury).
• Aston Villa arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in 5 of their last 5.
• A slight edge in expected goals for Man United (1.8 vs 1.5).
• Man United have a solid attacking output.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Man United
D
L
D
L
L
Aston Villa
D
W
W
W
W
Squad News
Man United
- Injured Manuel Ugarte ★ Midfielder · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Noussair Mazraoui ★ Defender · Back problems
Aston Villa
- Injured Aaron Wan-Bissaka ★ Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Amadou Onana ★ Midfielder · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Matteo Ruggeri ★ Defender · Hamstring injury
Season Stats
8
Played
8
7
Points
11
10
Goals Scored
9
13
Goals Conceded
12
-3
Goal Diff
-3
0
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
5 matches played
Man United
Draws
Aston Villa
Last meeting (15 Mar 2026): 3-1