Ligue 1
— Matchday 9
Marseille
vs
Toulouse
1X2
Marseille
47.9%
Draw
23%
Toulouse
29.1%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64.7%
Under 2.5
35.3%
BTTS
Both Score
65.1%
No
34.9%
Double Chance
Marseille or Draw
70.9%
Marseille or Toulouse
77%
Draw or Toulouse
52.1%
Draw No Bet
Marseille
62.2%
Toulouse
37.8%
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.9%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
42.7%
Under 3.5
57.4%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
Marseille scores
84.9%
Marseille fails to score
15.1%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
Marseille 2+ goals
56.4%
Marseille 0-1 goals
43.7%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
Toulouse scores
76.3%
Toulouse fails to score
23.7%
Correct Score
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
Half-Time Result
Marseille at HT
36.7%
Draw at HT
38.1%
Toulouse at HT
25.2%
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
1st half goal
76%
No 1st half goal
24%
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
1st half Over 1.5
42.8%
1st half Under 1.5
57.2%
Half-Time/Full-Time
Marseille / Marseille
29%
Toulouse / Toulouse
16.5%
Draw / Marseille
15.5%
Draw / Draw
12.4%
Draw / Toulouse
10.3%
Marseille / Draw
5.3%
Toulouse / Draw
5.3%
Toulouse / Marseille
3.3%
Marseille / Toulouse
2.3%
Model Reasoning
Marseille favoured (48%)
Key factors:
• A slight edge in expected goals for Marseille (1.9 vs 1.4).
• Marseille have a solid attacking output.
• Playing at home is a factor in Marseille's favour.
• Toulouse have been solid recently, winning 2 of their last 5.
• Marseille are without key defender Derek Cornelius (Hip injury).
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Marseille
L
L
W
W
W
Toulouse
D
W
D
W
D
Squad News
Marseille
- Injured Derek Cornelius Defender · Hip injury
Toulouse
No known absences
Season Stats
8
Played
8
12
Points
10
18
Goals Scored
12
13
Goals Conceded
11
+5
Goal Diff
+1
2
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
4 matches played
Marseille
Draws
Toulouse
Last meeting (29 Nov 2025): 2-2