Maritimo favoured (42%) Key factors: • A slight edge in expected goals for Maritimo (1.4 vs 1.1). • Maritimo are in poor form, with only 0 win(s) from their last 5 matches. • Playing at home is a factor in Maritimo's favour. • Maritimo have had a long break of 238 days and may take time to find their rhythm. • Alverca return from a 238-day absence and could be ring-rusty. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.