Bundesliga
— Matchday 4
M'gladbach
3 – 4
Mainz
1X2
M'gladbach
24.2%
Draw
30.3%
Mainz
45.4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.8%
Under 2.5
58.2%
BTTS
Both Score
48%
No
52.1%
Model Reasoning
Mainz favoured (45%)
Key factors:
• A slight edge in expected goals for M'gladbach (1.0 vs 1.4).
• M'gladbach are without key midfielder Jens Castrop (Shoulder injury).
• Mainz are missing key midfielder Eric Martel (Inner ligament injury).
• M'gladbach are in poor form, with only 1 win(s) from their last 5 matches.
• Playing at home is a factor in M'gladbach's favour.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
M'gladbach
L
L
L
L
W
Mainz
L
W
L
W
L
Squad News
M'gladbach
- Injured Franck Honorat ★ Attacker · Muscle injury
- Injured Nicolas Kühn ★ Attacker · Fitness
- Injured Tim Kleindienst ★ Attacker · Torn muscle fiber
- Injured Enzo Leopold Midfielder · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Fritz Fleck Midfielder · strain
- Injured Jan Leszczyński Defender · Knee injury
Mainz
- Injured Dominik Kohr Defender · Ankle injury
- Injured Otto Ruoppi Midfielder · Knee problems
- Injured Silas Attacker · Fitness
Season Stats
7
Played
7
3
Points
10
11
Goals Scored
16
22
Goals Conceded
13
-11
Goal Diff
+3
0
Clean Sheets
3
Head to Head
1 match played
M'gladbach
Draws
Mainz
Last meeting (19 Apr 2026): 1-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
2 (45%)
2
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Under (58%)
Over
✗
BTTS
No (52%)
Yes
✗
Match Statistics
1
HT Score
2