AC Milan favoured (51%) Key factors: • The model expects AC Milan to create significantly more chances (1.7 xG vs 1.0 xG). • AC Milan are without key defender Matteo Gabbia (Ankle problems). • Lazio are missing key midfielder Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Hamstring injury). • Lazio arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in 5 of their last 5. • Playing at home is a factor in AC Milan's favour. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.