AC Milan favoured (54%) Key factors: • The model expects AC Milan to create significantly more chances (1.6 xG vs 0.8 xG). • AC Milan are without key defender Matteo Gabbia (Ankle problems). • Lecce are missing key attacker Willem Geubbels (Ankle sprain). • Lecce's attacking numbers are underwhelming. • Playing at home is a factor in AC Milan's favour. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.