Home / Football / Serie A / Milan vs Lecce
Serie A — Matchday 5
AC Milan
vs
Lecce
Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC
1X2
56.9%
26.6%
16.5%
AC Milan 56.9%
Draw 26.6%
Lecce 16.5%
Over/Under 2.5
42.4%
57.6%
Over 2.5 42.4%
Under 2.5 57.6%
BTTS
43.6%
56.4%
Both Score 43.6%
No 56.4%
Model Reasoning
AC Milan favoured (57%) Key factors: • The model expects AC Milan to create significantly more chances (1.6 xG vs 0.8 xG). • AC Milan are without key defender Matteo Gabbia (Ankle problems). • Lecce are missing key attacker Willem Geubbels (Ankle sprain). • Lecce have been toothless in front of goal lately. • Playing at home is a factor in AC Milan's favour. Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
AC Milan
L W W D D
Lecce
W W W L L
Squad News
AC Milan
  • Injured Matteo Gabbia Defender · Ankle problems
Lecce
  • Injured Willem Geubbels Attacker · Ankle sprain
Season Stats
4
Played
3
8
Points
3
7
Goals Scored
2
4
Goals Conceded
5
+3
Goal Diff
-3
1
Clean Sheets
1