Championship
— Matchday 13
Millwall
vs
Derby
1X2
Millwall
60.5%
Draw
23.2%
Derby
16.3%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
49.6%
Under 2.5
50.4%
BTTS
Both Score
47.7%
No
52.3%
Double Chance
Millwall or Draw
83.7%
Millwall or Derby
76.8%
Draw or Derby
39.5%
Draw No Bet
Millwall
78.8%
Derby
21.2%
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.7%
Under 1.5
25.3%
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.6%
Under 3.5
72.4%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
Millwall scores
83.9%
Millwall fails to score
16.1%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
Millwall 2+ goals
54.4%
Millwall 0-1 goals
45.6%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
Derby scores
56.5%
Derby fails to score
43.5%
Correct Score
1-0
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
11%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.4%
Half-Time Result
Millwall at HT
44%
Draw at HT
40.4%
Derby at HT
15.6%
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
1st half goal
70.1%
No 1st half goal
29.9%
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
1st half Over 1.5
34.8%
1st half Under 1.5
65.2%
Half-Time/Full-Time
Millwall / Millwall
38.7%
Draw / Millwall
19.3%
Draw / Draw
14.8%
Derby / Derby
8.8%
Draw / Derby
6.6%
Millwall / Draw
4.2%
Derby / Draw
4.2%
Derby / Millwall
2.6%
Millwall / Derby
1%
Model Reasoning
Millwall favoured (61%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Millwall to create significantly more chances (1.8 xG vs 0.8 xG).
• Millwall are without key attacker Josh Coburn (unknown injury).
• Derby are missing key defender Eiran Cashin (Calf injury).
• Playing at home is a factor in Millwall's favour.
• Derby have been struggling, losing 2 of their last 5 games.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Millwall
D
W
L
D
L
Derby
D
D
L
L
D
Squad News
Millwall
- Injured Josh Coburn ★ Attacker · unknown injury
- Injured Tristan Crama ★ Defender · Ankle injury
- Injured Ryan Leonard Defender · unknown injury
- Suspended Jenson Metcalfe Midfielder · Suspension
Derby
- Injured Eiran Cashin ★ Defender · Calf injury
- Injured Patrick Agyemang ★ Attacker · Achilles tendon rupture
- Injured Sondre Langås ★ Defender · Groin surgery
- Injured Charlie Taylor Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Craig Forsyth Defender · Knee injury
- Injured Derry Murkin Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper · Knee injury
- Injured Lewis Travis Midfielder · Ankle injury
- Injured Matt Clarke Defender · Calf injury
- Suspended Sondre Langås Defender · Suspension
Season Stats
12
Played
12
15
Points
7
19
Goals Scored
10
20
Goals Conceded
21
-1
Goal Diff
-11
4
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
3 matches played
Millwall
Draws
Derby
Last meeting (10 Mar 2026): 1-0