Home / Football / Championship / Millwall vs Derby County
Championship — Matchday 13
Millwall
vs
Derby
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UTC
1X2
60.5%
23.2%
16.3%
Millwall 60.5%
Draw 23.2%
Derby 16.3%
Over/Under 2.5
49.6%
50.4%
Over 2.5 49.6%
Under 2.5 50.4%
BTTS
47.7%
52.3%
Both Score 47.7%
No 52.3%
Double Chance
Millwall or Draw 83.7%
Millwall or Derby 76.8%
Draw or Derby 39.5%
Draw No Bet
78.8%
21.2%
Millwall 78.8%
Derby 21.2%
Over/Under 1.5
74.7%
25.3%
Over 1.5 74.7%
Under 1.5 25.3%
Over/Under 3.5
27.6%
72.4%
Over 3.5 27.6%
Under 3.5 72.4%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
83.9%
16.1%
Millwall scores 83.9%
Millwall fails to score 16.1%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
54.4%
45.6%
Millwall 2+ goals 54.4%
Millwall 0-1 goals 45.6%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
56.5%
43.5%
Derby scores 56.5%
Derby fails to score 43.5%
Correct Score
1-0 12.4%
2-0 11.7%
1-1 11%
2-1 9.7%
0-0 7.4%
Half-Time Result
44%
40.4%
15.6%
Millwall at HT 44%
Draw at HT 40.4%
Derby at HT 15.6%
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
70.1%
29.9%
1st half goal 70.1%
No 1st half goal 29.9%
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
34.8%
65.2%
1st half Over 1.5 34.8%
1st half Under 1.5 65.2%
Half-Time/Full-Time
Millwall / Millwall 38.7%
Draw / Millwall 19.3%
Draw / Draw 14.8%
Derby / Derby 8.8%
Draw / Derby 6.6%
Millwall / Draw 4.2%
Derby / Draw 4.2%
Derby / Millwall 2.6%
Millwall / Derby 1%
Model Reasoning
Millwall favoured (61%) Key factors: • The model expects Millwall to create significantly more chances (1.8 xG vs 0.8 xG). • Millwall are without key attacker Josh Coburn (unknown injury). • Derby are missing key defender Eiran Cashin (Calf injury). • Playing at home is a factor in Millwall's favour. • Derby have been struggling, losing 2 of their last 5 games. Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Millwall
D W L D L
Derby
D D L L D
Squad News
Millwall
  • Injured Josh Coburn ★ Attacker · unknown injury
  • Injured Tristan Crama ★ Defender · Ankle injury
  • Injured Ryan Leonard Defender · unknown injury
  • Suspended Jenson Metcalfe Midfielder · Suspension
Derby
  • Injured Eiran Cashin ★ Defender · Calf injury
  • Injured Patrick Agyemang ★ Attacker · Achilles tendon rupture
  • Injured Sondre Langås ★ Defender · Groin surgery
  • Injured Charlie Taylor Defender · Hamstring injury
  • Injured Craig Forsyth Defender · Knee injury
  • Injured Derry Murkin Defender · Hamstring injury
  • Injured Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper · Knee injury
  • Injured Lewis Travis Midfielder · Ankle injury
  • Injured Matt Clarke Defender · Calf injury
  • Suspended Sondre Langås Defender · Suspension
Season Stats
12
Played
12
15
Points
7
19
Goals Scored
10
20
Goals Conceded
21
-1
Goal Diff
-11
4
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
3 matches played
1
2
0
Millwall Draws Derby
Last meeting (10 Mar 2026): 1-0