Ligue 1
— Matchday 8
Monaco
1 – 1
Lille
1X2
Monaco
61.4%
Draw
24.9%
Lille
13.7%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.9%
Under 2.5
58.1%
BTTS
Both Score
40.4%
No
59.6%
Model Reasoning
Monaco favoured (61%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Monaco to create significantly more chances (1.7 xG vs 0.7 xG).
• Lille are missing key attacker Ayase Ueda (Foot injury).
• Playing at home is a factor in Monaco's favour.
• Lille face a short turnaround, having played just 3 days ago.
• Lille are reasonably well-organized at the back.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Monaco
D
W
D
L
D
Lille
W
L
D
L
D
Squad News
Monaco
- Injured Ansu Fati ★ Attacker · Hamstring injury
Lille
- Injured Ayase Ueda ★ Attacker · Foot injury
- Injured Hamza Igamane ★ Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Tiago Santos ★ Defender · Cruciate ligament tear
- Suspended Tanguy Nianzou Defender · Suspension
Confirmed Lineups
Monaco
4-2-3-1
- Lukas Hradecky
- Jordan Teze
- Sadibou Sané
- Nazinho
- Vanderson
- Denis Zakaria
- Lamine Camara
- Mamadou Coulibaly
- Ansu Fati
- Aleksandr Golovin
- Paris Brunner
Substitutes
- Matthis Abline
- Mohammed Salisu
- #49
- Edan Diop
- Christian Mawissa
- Philipp Köhn
- Mathys Detourbet
Season Stats
8
Played
8
15
Points
15
11
Goals Scored
11
7
Goals Conceded
6
+4
Goal Diff
+5
2
Clean Sheets
4
Head to Head
1 match played
Monaco
Draws
Lille
Last meeting (10 May 2026): 0-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
Monaco (61%)
Draw
✗
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5 (58%)
Under 2.5
✓
BTTS
No (60%)
Both Score
✗
Match Statistics
1.87
xG
0.60
0
HT Score
1