Home / Football / Serie A / Monza vs Napoli
Serie A — Matchday 9
Monza
1 – 4
Napoli
Full Time
1X2
29.6%
26.1%
44.3%
Monza 29.6%
Draw 26.1%
Napoli 44.3%
Over/Under 2.5
51.4%
48.6%
Over 2.5 51.4%
Under 2.5 48.6%
BTTS
55.2%
44.8%
Both Score 55.2%
No 44.8%
Double Chance
Monza or Draw 55.7%
Monza or Napoli 73.9%
Draw or Napoli 70.4%
Draw No Bet
40.1%
59.9%
Monza 40.1%
Napoli 59.9%
Over/Under 1.5
76.1%
23.9%
Over 1.5 76.1%
Under 1.5 23.9%
Over/Under 3.5
29.3%
70.7%
Over 3.5 29.3%
Under 3.5 70.7%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
70%
30%
Monza scores 70%
Monza fails to score 30%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
33.9%
66.1%
Monza 2+ goals 33.9%
Monza 0-1 goals 66.1%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
78.3%
21.7%
Napoli scores 78.3%
Napoli fails to score 21.7%
Correct Score
1-1 12.4%
0-1 9.5%
1-2 9.1%
0-2 7.6%
1-0 7.4%
Model Reasoning
Napoli favoured (44%) Key factors: • Monza are without key defender Jan Ziolkowski (Heel spur). • Napoli are missing key defender Alessandro Buongiorno (Knee surgery). • A slight edge in expected goals for Monza (1.2 vs 1.5). • Napoli are reasonably well-organized at the back. • Playing at home is a factor in Monza's favour. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Monza
W L W L L
Napoli
L L W D W
Squad News
Monza
  • Injured Jan Ziolkowski ★ Defender · Heel spur
  • Injured Matteo Pessina ★ Midfielder · Knee injury
  • Injured Yvan Maye Defender · muscular problems
Napoli
  • Injured Alessandro Buongiorno ★ Defender · Knee surgery
  • Injured Alisson Santos ★ Attacker · Hamstring muscle injury
  • Injured Benoît Badiashile ★ Defender · Hamstring strain
  • Injured Costantino Favasuli ★ Defender · Hamstring strain
  • Injured David Neres ★ Attacker · Hamstring injury
  • Injured Leonardo Spinazzola Defender · Hamstring muscle injury
Confirmed Lineups
Monza
3-4-2-1
  1. Ricardo Mangas
  2. Noel Törnqvist
  3. Jay Robinson
  4. Saba Goglichidze
  5. Leonardo Colombo
  6. Samuele Birindelli
  7. Gustavo Varela
  8. Cyril Ngonge
  9. Adam Bakoune
  10. Lorenzo Lucchesi
  11. Foe Ondoa
Substitutes
  • Valentin Antov
  • Mathis Mout
  • Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
  • Demba Thiam
  • Patrick Cutrone
  • Idrissa Touré
  • Exequiel Zeballos
Napoli
4-3-3 Attacking
  1. Amir Rrahmani
  2. Frank Anguissa
  3. Giovanni Di Lorenzo
  4. Vanja Milinković-Savić
  5. Noa Lang
  6. Mathías Olivera
  7. Matteo Politano
  8. Scott McTominay
  9. Rafa Marín
  10. Rasmus Højlund
  11. Billy Gilmour
Substitutes
  • Giovane
  • Luca Marianucci
  • Sam Beukema
  • Lorenzo Lucca
  • Alex Meret
  • Kevin De Bruyne
  • Antonio Vergara
Season Stats
9
Played
9
7
Points
14
16
Goals Scored
17
22
Goals Conceded
11
-6
Goal Diff
+6
1
Clean Sheets
3
Head to Head
3 matches played
1
0
2
Monza Draws Napoli
Last meeting (19 Apr 2025): 0-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2 Napoli (44%) Napoli ✓
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (51%) Over 2.5 ✓
BTTS Both Score (55%) Both Score ✓
Double Chance Monza or Napoli (74%) Monza or Napoli / Draw or Napoli ✓
Draw No Bet Napoli (60%) Napoli ✓
Over/Under 1.5 Over 1.5 (76%) Over 1.5 ✓
Over/Under 3.5 Under 3.5 (71%) Over 3.5 ✗
Home Team Over/Under 0.5 Monza scores (70%) Monza scores ✓
Home Team Over/Under 1.5 Monza 0-1 goals (66%) Monza 0-1 goals ✓
Away Team Over/Under 0.5 Napoli scores (78%) Napoli scores ✓
Correct Score 1-1 (12%) 1-4 ✗
Match Statistics
0.96
xG
2.49
1
HT Score
1