Liga Portugal
— Matchday 10
Moreirense
vs
Estrela
1X2
Moreirense
51%
Draw
27%
Estrela
22%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
BTTS
Both Score
46.1%
No
53.9%
Double Chance
Moreirense or Draw
78%
Moreirense or Estrela
73%
Draw or Estrela
49%
Draw No Bet
Moreirense
69.9%
Estrela
30.1%
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.3%
Under 1.5
30.8%
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
Moreirense scores
77.6%
Moreirense fails to score
22.4%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
Moreirense 2+ goals
44.1%
Moreirense 0-1 goals
55.9%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
Estrela scores
58.9%
Estrela fails to score
41.1%
Correct Score
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
10.3%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
Half-Time Result
Moreirense at HT
36.4%
Draw at HT
45%
Estrela at HT
18.7%
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
1st half goal
65.1%
No 1st half goal
34.9%
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
1st half Over 1.5
29%
1st half Under 1.5
71%
Half-Time/Full-Time
Moreirense / Moreirense
30.5%
Draw / Moreirense
18.3%
Draw / Draw
17.9%
Estrela / Estrela
11.8%
Draw / Estrela
9%
Moreirense / Draw
4.6%
Estrela / Draw
4.6%
Estrela / Moreirense
2.2%
Moreirense / Estrela
1.2%
Model Reasoning
Moreirense favoured (51%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Moreirense to create significantly more chances (1.5 xG vs 0.9 xG).
• Estrela are missing key attacker Jeremy Arévalo (Back problems).
• Playing at home is a factor in Moreirense's favour.
• Estrela's attacking numbers are underwhelming.
• Estrela have been struggling, losing 3 of their last 5 games.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Moreirense
L
W
D
L
W
Estrela
W
D
L
L
L
Squad News
Moreirense
No known absences
Estrela
- Injured Jeremy Arévalo ★ Attacker · Back problems
Season Stats
9
Played
9
11
Points
10
11
Goals Scored
14
16
Goals Conceded
17
-5
Goal Diff
-3
1
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
3 matches played
Moreirense
Draws
Estrela
Last meeting (2 May 2026): 3-2