Home / Football / Serie A / Napoli vs Bologna
Serie A — Matchday 4
Napoli
1 – 0
Bologna
Full Time
1X2
45.5%
29.8%
24.7%
Napoli 45.5%
Draw 29.8%
Bologna 24.7%
Over/Under 2.5
39.7%
60.3%
Over 2.5 39.7%
Under 2.5 60.3%
BTTS
45.7%
54.3%
Both Score 45.7%
No 54.3%
Model Reasoning
Napoli favoured (45%) Key factors: • A slight edge in expected goals for Napoli (1.4 vs 0.9). • Napoli are without key defender Alessandro Buongiorno (Knee surgery). • Bologna are missing key attacker Riccardo Orsolini (Hamstring injury). • Playing at home is a factor in Napoli's favour. • Napoli may be feeling the effects of a short turnaround, with only 3 days since their last match. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Napoli
D W L L W
Bologna
D L D W L
Squad News
Napoli
  • Injured Alessandro Buongiorno ★ Defender · Knee surgery
  • Injured Alisson Santos ★ Attacker · Hamstring muscle injury
  • Injured Antonio Vergara ★ Midfielder · Calf injury
  • Injured Costantino Favasuli ★ Defender · Hamstring strain
  • Injured David Neres ★ Attacker · Hamstring injury
Bologna
  • Injured Emil Holm ★ Defender · Hamstring muscle injury
  • Injured Riccardo Orsolini ★ Attacker · Hamstring muscle injury
  • Injured Roberto Piccoli ★ Attacker · Muscle injury
Season Stats
7
Played
7
10
Points
5
10
Goals Scored
6
7
Goals Conceded
10
+3
Goal Diff
-4
3
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
0
0
1
Napoli Draws Bologna
Last meeting (11 May 2026): 2-3
Prediction vs Result
1X2 1 (45%) 1 ✓
Over/Under 2.5 Under (60%) Under ✓
BTTS No (54%) No ✓
Match Statistics
0
HT Score
0