Serie A
— Matchday 4
Napoli
1 – 0
Bologna
1X2
Napoli
45.5%
Draw
29.8%
Bologna
24.7%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
39.7%
Under 2.5
60.3%
BTTS
Both Score
45.7%
No
54.3%
Model Reasoning
Napoli favoured (45%)
Key factors:
• A slight edge in expected goals for Napoli (1.4 vs 0.9).
• Napoli are without key defender Alessandro Buongiorno (Knee surgery).
• Bologna are missing key attacker Riccardo Orsolini (Hamstring injury).
• Playing at home is a factor in Napoli's favour.
• Napoli may be feeling the effects of a short turnaround, with only 3 days since their last match.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Napoli
D
W
L
L
W
Bologna
D
L
D
W
L
Squad News
Napoli
- Injured Alessandro Buongiorno ★ Defender · Knee surgery
- Injured Alisson Santos ★ Attacker · Hamstring muscle injury
- Injured Antonio Vergara ★ Midfielder · Calf injury
- Injured Costantino Favasuli ★ Defender · Hamstring strain
- Injured David Neres ★ Attacker · Hamstring injury
Bologna
- Injured Emil Holm ★ Defender · Hamstring muscle injury
- Injured Riccardo Orsolini ★ Attacker · Hamstring muscle injury
- Injured Roberto Piccoli ★ Attacker · Muscle injury
Season Stats
7
Played
7
10
Points
5
10
Goals Scored
6
7
Goals Conceded
10
+3
Goal Diff
-4
3
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Napoli
Draws
Bologna
Last meeting (11 May 2026): 2-3
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (45%)
1
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Under (60%)
Under
✓
BTTS
No (54%)
No
✓
Match Statistics
0
HT Score
0