Serie A
— Matchday 8
Napoli
3 – 3
Roma
1X2
Napoli
22.3%
Draw
29.3%
Roma
48.5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
39.9%
Under 2.5
60.1%
BTTS
Both Score
45%
No
55%
Model Reasoning
Roma favoured (48%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Napoli to create significantly more chances (0.9 xG vs 1.4 xG).
• Roma boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• Napoli are without key defender Alessandro Buongiorno (Knee surgery).
• Roma are missing key midfielder Lorenzo Pellegrini (Muscle injury).
• Roma are very hard to break down.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Napoli
L
L
W
D
W
Roma
L
W
W
D
W
Squad News
Napoli
- Injured Alessandro Buongiorno ★ Defender · Knee surgery
- Injured Alisson Santos ★ Attacker · Hamstring muscle injury
- Injured Benoît Badiashile ★ Defender · Hamstring strain
- Injured Costantino Favasuli ★ Defender · Hamstring strain
- Injured David Neres ★ Attacker · Hamstring injury
- Injured Leonardo Spinazzola Defender · Hamstring muscle injury
Roma
- Injured Lorenzo Pellegrini ★ Midfielder · Hamstring strain
- Injured Manu Koné ★ Midfielder · Hamstring muscle injury
- Injured Mile Svilar ★ Goalkeeper · Broken finger
- Injured Paulo Dybala ★ Attacker · Calf problems
Confirmed Lineups
Roma
3-5-2 flat
- Pierluigi Gollini
- Gianluca Mancini
- Mario Hermoso
- Evan Ndicka
- Bryan Cristante
- Niccolò Pisilli
- Marten de Roon
- Devyne Rensch
- Wesley
- Donyell Malen
- Matías Soulé
Substitutes
- Konstantinos Koulierakis
- Leonardo Balerdi
- Rodrigo Mora
- Giorgio De Marzi
- Santiago Castro
- #78
- Emanuele Lulli
Season Stats
9
Played
9
14
Points
21
17
Goals Scored
23
11
Goals Conceded
8
+6
Goal Diff
+15
3
Clean Sheets
5
Head to Head
1 match played
Napoli
Draws
Roma
Last meeting (15 Feb 2026): 2-2
Prediction vs Result
1X2
Roma (48%)
Draw
✗
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5 (60%)
Over 2.5
✗
BTTS
No (55%)
Both Score
✗
Match Statistics
2.98
xG
1.96
1
HT Score
0