Norwich favoured (68%) Key factors: • The model expects Norwich to create significantly more chances (2.1 xG vs 0.7 xG). • Burnley's defense has been a weak point. • Playing at home is a factor in Norwich's favour. • Burnley's attacking numbers are underwhelming. • Norwich are without key attacker Ante Crnac (Cruciate ligament tear). Most likely scoreline: 2-0.