Lyon favoured (54%) Key factors: • The model expects Lyon to create significantly more chances (1.6 xG vs 0.8 xG). • Playing at home is a factor in Lyon's favour. • Le Havre's attacking numbers are underwhelming. • Le Havre are missing key defender Stephan Zagadou (Cruciate ligament tear). • Lyon have had a long break of 103 days and may take time to find their rhythm. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.