Lyon favoured (57%) Key factors: • The model expects Lyon to create significantly more chances (2.0 xG vs 1.1 xG). • Playing at home is a factor in Lyon's favour. • Lyon have a solid attacking output. • Le Mans FC are missing key goalkeeper Nicolas Kocik (Ankle sprain). • Lyon have had a long break of 245 days and may take time to find their rhythm. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.