Porto favoured (63%) Key factors: • The model expects Porto to create significantly more chances (1.7 xG vs 0.6 xG). • Porto have one of the tightest defenses in the league. • Porto are without key attacker Samu Aghehowa (Cruciate ligament tear). • Playing at home is a factor in Porto's favour. • Porto are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Most likely scoreline: 1-0.