Liga Portugal
— Matchday 1
Porto
2 – 0
Alverca
1X2
Porto
63.5%
Draw
25.3%
Alverca
11.2%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
40.1%
Under 2.5
59.9%
BTTS
Both Score
37.4%
No
62.7%
Model Reasoning
Porto favoured (64%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Porto to create significantly more chances (1.7 xG vs 0.6 xG).
• Porto have one of the tightest defenses in the league.
• Porto are without key attacker Samu Aghehowa (Cruciate ligament tear).
• Playing at home is a factor in Porto's favour.
• Porto are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Porto
W
W
L
L
W
Alverca
L
W
W
W
L
Squad News
Porto
- Injured William Gomes ★ Attacker · Ankle sprain
- Injured Vasco Sousa Midfielder · Broken fibula
Alverca
- Injured Julián Martínez Defender · Meniscus tear
- Injured Sabit Abdulai Midfielder · Knee injury
Season Stats
9
Played
9
27
Points
11
21
Goals Scored
13
4
Goals Conceded
13
+17
Goal Diff
+0
5
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
Porto
Draws
Alverca
Last meeting (2 May 2026): 1-0
Prediction vs Result
1X2
Porto (64%)
Porto
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5 (60%)
Under 2.5
✓
BTTS
No (63%)
No
✓
Match Statistics
2.57
xG
1.32
2
HT Score
0