Liga Portugal
— Matchday 1
Porto
2 – 0
Alverca
1X2
Porto
63.5%
Draw
25.3%
Alverca
11.2%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
40.1%
Under 2.5
59.9%
BTTS
Both Score
37.4%
No
62.7%
Model Reasoning
Porto favoured (64%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Porto to create significantly more chances (1.7 xG vs 0.6 xG).
• Porto have one of the tightest defenses in the league.
• Porto are without key attacker Samu Aghehowa (Cruciate ligament tear).
• Playing at home is a factor in Porto's favour.
• Porto are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Porto
W
W
W
L
W
Alverca
D
L
D
L
W
Squad News
Porto
- Injured Gabriel Mec ★ Attacker · Pubic bone bruise
- Injured Oskar Pietuszewski ★ Attacker · Muscle injury
- Injured Victor Froholdt ★ Midfielder · concussion
- Injured Vasco Sousa Midfielder · Broken fibula
- Injured Zaidu Sanusi Defender · Adductor injury
Alverca
No known absences
Season Stats
6
Played
6
18
Points
5
15
Goals Scored
8
2
Goals Conceded
11
+13
Goal Diff
-3
4
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Porto
Draws
Alverca
Last meeting (2 May 2026): 1-0
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (64%)
1
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Under (60%)
Under
✓
BTTS
No (63%)
No
✓
Match Statistics
2
HT Score
0