Home / Football / Liga Portugal / Porto vs Alverca
Liga Portugal — Matchday 1
Porto
2 – 0
Alverca
Full Time
1X2
63.5%
25.3%
Porto 63.5%
Draw 25.3%
Alverca 11.2%
Over/Under 2.5
40.1%
59.9%
Over 2.5 40.1%
Under 2.5 59.9%
BTTS
37.4%
62.7%
Both Score 37.4%
No 62.7%
Model Reasoning
Porto favoured (64%) Key factors: • The model expects Porto to create significantly more chances (1.7 xG vs 0.6 xG). • Porto have one of the tightest defenses in the league. • Porto are without key attacker Samu Aghehowa (Cruciate ligament tear). • Playing at home is a factor in Porto's favour. • Porto are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Porto
W W L L W
Alverca
L W W W L
Squad News
Porto
  • Injured William Gomes ★ Attacker · Ankle sprain
  • Injured Vasco Sousa Midfielder · Broken fibula
Alverca
  • Injured Julián Martínez Defender · Meniscus tear
  • Injured Sabit Abdulai Midfielder · Knee injury
Season Stats
9
Played
9
27
Points
11
21
Goals Scored
13
4
Goals Conceded
13
+17
Goal Diff
+0
5
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
1
0
0
Porto Draws Alverca
Last meeting (2 May 2026): 1-0
Prediction vs Result
1X2 Porto (64%) Porto ✓
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (60%) Under 2.5 ✓
BTTS No (63%) No ✓
Match Statistics
2.57
xG
1.32
2
HT Score
0