Porto favoured (49%) Key factors: • The model expects Porto to create significantly more chances (1.5 xG vs 0.9 xG). • Porto have one of the tightest defenses in the league. • Porto are without key attacker Oskar Pietuszewski (Muscle injury). • Arouca arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in 5 of their last 5. • Playing at home is a factor in Porto's favour. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.