Liga Portugal
— Matchday 3
Porto
vs
Arouca
1X2
Porto
54.5%
Draw
28.2%
Arouca
17.3%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.2%
Under 2.5
58.8%
BTTS
Both Score
43.9%
No
56.1%
Model Reasoning
Porto favoured (55%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Porto to create significantly more chances (1.6 xG vs 0.8 xG).
• Porto have one of the tightest defenses in the league.
• Porto are without key attacker Oskar Pietuszewski (Muscle injury).
• Playing at home is a factor in Porto's favour.
• Porto are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Porto
W
L
W
W
W
Arouca
L
D
W
W
W
Squad News
Porto
- Injured Oskar Pietuszewski ★ Attacker · Muscle injury
- Injured Samu Aghehowa ★ Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Vasco Sousa Midfielder · Broken fibula
Arouca
No known absences
Season Stats
2
Played
1
6
Points
3
4
Goals Scored
1
0
Goals Conceded
0
+4
Goal Diff
+1
2
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
Porto
Draws
Arouca
Last meeting (27 Feb 2026): 3-1