Liga Portugal
— Matchday 5
Porto
2 – 1
Moreirense
1X2
Porto
69.1%
Draw
22.8%
Moreirense
8.1%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.5%
Under 2.5
58.5%
BTTS
Both Score
34%
No
66.1%
Model Reasoning
Porto favoured (69%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Porto to create significantly more chances (1.9 xG vs 0.5 xG).
• Porto have one of the tightest defenses in the league.
• Porto are in excellent form, winning 5 of their last 5 matches.
• Porto are without key attacker Gabriel Mec (Pubic bone bruise).
• Moreirense's attacking numbers are underwhelming.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Porto
W
L
W
W
W
Moreirense
L
L
W
D
L
Squad News
Porto
- Injured Gabriel Mec ★ Attacker · Pubic bone bruise
- Injured Martim Fernandes ★ Defender · unknown injury
- Injured William Gomes ★ Attacker · unknown injury
- Injured João Costa Goalkeeper · Meniscus injury
- Injured Vasco Sousa Midfielder · Broken fibula
- Injured Zaidu Sanusi Defender · Adductor injury
Moreirense
No known absences
Confirmed Lineups
Moreirense
3-4-3
- Maracás
- Alexandre Parsemain
- João Veloso
- Dinis Pinto
- Landerson
- Nile John
- Gilberto Batista
- Manuel Mendonça
- Kiko
- André Ferreira
- Guilherme Liberato
Substitutes
- Leandro Santos
- Yan Maranhão
- Aranha
- Afonso Vieira
- Mateja Stjepanović
- Kevyn Monteiro
- Tiago Andrade
Season Stats
8
Played
8
24
Points
8
20
Goals Scored
8
4
Goals Conceded
15
+16
Goal Diff
-7
4
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
Porto
Draws
Moreirense
Last meeting (15 Mar 2026): 3-0
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (69%)
1
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Under (59%)
Over
✗
BTTS
No (66%)
Yes
✗
Match Statistics
1
HT Score
1