Portsmouth favoured (41%) Key factors: • Derby are missing key attacker Patrick Agyemang (Achilles tendon rupture). • Playing at home is a factor in Portsmouth's favour. • A slight edge in expected goals for Portsmouth (1.4 vs 1.2). • Derby have been struggling, losing 3 of their last 5 games. • Portsmouth are without key defender Jacob Farrell (Groin injury). Most likely scoreline: 1-1.