Portsmouth favoured (47%) Key factors: • A slight edge in expected goals for Portsmouth (1.6 vs 1.1). • Derby are missing key attacker Patrick Agyemang (Achilles tendon rupture). • Playing at home is a factor in Portsmouth's favour. • Derby go with 4-2-3-1 — Patrick Agyemang not in the XI. • Portsmouth may be feeling the effects of a short turnaround, with only 3 days since their last match. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.