Portugal favoured (75%) Key factors: • The model expects Portugal to create significantly more chances (2.4 xG vs 0.7 xG). • Portugal have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best. • Portugal have one of the tightest defenses in the league. • Portugal are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. • Playing at home is a factor in Portugal's favour. Most likely scoreline: 2-0.