Championship
— Matchday 10
QPR
4 – 1
Derby
1X2
QPR
56.8%
Draw
25%
Derby
18.3%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.2%
Under 2.5
51.8%
BTTS
Both Score
48.7%
No
51.3%
Model Reasoning
QPR favoured (57%)
Key factors:
• The model expects QPR to create significantly more chances (1.7 xG vs 0.9 xG).
• Derby are missing key defender Eiran Cashin (Calf injury).
• Playing at home is a factor in QPR's favour.
• Derby are badly out of form, managing just 0 win(s) in their last 5.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
QPR
D
D
W
L
W
Derby
D
D
L
L
D
Squad News
QPR
- Suspended Glen Kamara Midfielder · Suspension
- Suspended Jake Clarke-Salter Defender · Suspension
Derby
- Injured Eiran Cashin ★ Defender · Calf injury
- Injured Patrick Agyemang ★ Attacker · Achilles tendon rupture
- Injured Sondre Langås ★ Defender · Groin surgery
- Injured Charlie Taylor Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Craig Forsyth Defender · Knee injury
- Injured Derry Murkin Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper · Knee injury
- Injured Lewis Travis Midfielder · Ankle injury
- Injured Matt Clarke Defender · Calf injury
- Suspended Sondre Langås Defender · Suspension
Season Stats
12
Played
12
20
Points
7
20
Goals Scored
10
12
Goals Conceded
21
+8
Goal Diff
-11
3
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
QPR
Draws
Derby
Last meeting (25 Apr 2026): 2-3
Prediction vs Result
1X2
QPR (57%)
QPR
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5 (52%)
Over 2.5
✗
BTTS
No (51%)
Both Score
✗
Match Statistics
1.96
xG
0.96
3
HT Score
0