Vallecano favoured (49%) Key factors: • The model expects Vallecano to create significantly more chances (1.5 xG vs 0.9 xG). • Vallecano are without key defender Andrei Rațiu (muscular problems). • Playing at home is a factor in Vallecano's favour. • Vallecano are in excellent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches. • Alaves have been defensively average. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.