Vallecano favoured (47%) Key factors: • A slight edge in expected goals for Vallecano (1.6 vs 1.1). • Vallecano are without key goalkeeper Augusto Batalla (Lower leg fracture). • Ath Bilbao are missing key attacker Nico Williams (Muscle injury). • Playing at home is a factor in Vallecano's favour. • Vallecano have had a long break of 21 days and may take time to find their rhythm. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.