Vallecano favoured (46%) Key factors: • A slight edge in expected goals for Vallecano (1.5 vs 1.1). • Vallecano are without key goalkeeper Augusto Batalla (Lower leg fracture). • Playing at home is a factor in Vallecano's favour. • Espanol's attacking numbers are underwhelming. • Espanol are missing key attacker Kike García (Muscle injury). Most likely scoreline: 1-1.